Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.610090 0.691095 0.777324 0.875781 0.984918 1.102014 1.236979
2025-09-28 0.471575 0.581524 0.707140 0.860584 1.042226 1.249624 1.503539
2025-10-05 0.394852 0.526438 0.686754 0.894737 1.155518 1.469630 1.874320
2025-10-12 0.335273 0.480964 0.669378 0.927613 1.268549 1.699064 2.278915
2025-10-19 0.279329 0.429994 0.636239 0.933862 1.345981 1.889246 2.650780
2025-10-26 0.234292 0.385790 0.604630 0.935947 1.415241 2.072157 3.026554
2025-11-02 0.198134 0.347983 0.575759 0.936426 1.479666 2.251148 3.408779
2025-11-09 0.168934 0.315664 0.549784 0.936449 1.541068 2.428164 3.798941
2025-11-16 0.145924 0.289330 0.528914 0.940527 1.606864 2.614157 4.212765
2025-11-23 0.124675 0.262211 0.502642 0.931886 1.650352 2.767846 4.586716
2025-11-30 0.111075 0.246557 0.493333 0.949345 1.735575 2.989528 5.076050
2025-12-07 0.095603 0.224529 0.469586 0.938706 1.772256 3.135706 5.455096
2025-12-14 0.084844 0.210302 0.458592 0.949911 1.847660 3.350722 5.959853
2025-12-21 0.072541 0.190533 0.434304 0.933815 1.873569 3.485378 6.342147
2025-12-28 0.067231 0.185282 0.437950 0.970619 1.996654 3.790813 7.024000
2026-01-04 0.062315 0.180040 0.440847 1.005994 2.119484 4.102814 7.733629
2026-01-11 0.055577 0.169085 0.430132 1.012757 2.188720 4.324689 8.300452
2026-01-18 0.049361 0.158189 0.417992 1.015031 2.248957 4.533354 8.854492
2026-01-25 0.043817 0.147909 0.405764 1.015568 2.305279 4.737441 9.410104
2026-02-01 0.038935 0.138409 0.393986 1.015607 2.360097 4.941166 9.974483
2026-02-08 0.034881 0.130416 0.384687 1.019993 2.423686 5.164238 10.584229
2026-02-15 0.030646 0.120889 0.370165 1.010725 2.457636 5.332090 11.099488
2026-02-22 0.028161 0.116340 0.367778 1.029465 2.552180 5.621613 11.854828